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Law of Large Numbers

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📊 Law of Large Numbers: why more data = better decisions

In data science, there’s a key principle we often repeat: the more data you have, the closer your metrics get to reality.

This is the Law of Large Numbers. 🪙 Simple example:

  • If you flip a coin a few times, you might see “weird” results (like 70% heads).

But if you flip it 10,000 times, the average gets much closer to the true 50%. 🔍 Why it matters?

  • Because small samples mislead.
  • An A/B test with 50 users can show a “winner” by pure chance.
  • With 5,000 users, your conclusions are much more reliable.

💡 For beginners:

  • Think of it like listening to opinions.
  • If you only talk to 3 people, you can draw wrong conclusions.
  • If you talk to 3,000, the picture is much truer.
Also published on LinkedIn.
Juan Pedro Bretti Mandarano
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Juan Pedro Bretti Mandarano